Democrats are currently leading Republicans in the RealClearPolling generic congressional average

A blue wave may not be as certain as some polls have predicted, experts warn ahead of Election Day, noting forecasts may be skewed because Trump supporters are notoriously difficult to reach, according to a report.

While current polls paint a positive picture for Democrats ahead of the midterms this November 3 — some pollsters are questioning whether that number may be inflated due to supporters of President Donald Trump being difficult to reach by pollsters, Axios reported.

Polls previously underestimated Trump’s support during the presidential races in 2016, 2020 and 2024. Even though midterm polling is typically more accurate, some still underestimated Republican support in 2022, Scott Keeter, senior survey adviser at Pew Research Center, told Axios.

  • FlyingCircus@lemmy.world
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    17 hours ago

    No shit. The Dems, as usual, have failed to give the working class a reason to vote for them. They only ever give reasons to vote against their opponent. This strategy fundamentally fails to motivate anybody who isn’t already plugged into politics.

  • blastosist@lemmy.zip
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    1 day ago

    I hope that it is a big blue wave and this corrupt lunatic will have a congress with a spine but I am getting 2016 Clinton hubris vibes.

    • DrDickHandler@lemmy.world
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      24 hours ago

      Democrats aren’t winning shit. Regardless of the actual legit results, you can bet your ass that the Republicans won’t concede power.

      • Mulligrubs@lemmy.world
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        23 hours ago

        Bet your ass they will.

        Republicans depend on the “good cop” to “save the day” by taking office and “fixing” things by rolling the gains back a bit (but not reverse anything).

        … just as Democrats depend on Republicans to blame for their “failures” (like when they pretend to try and raise minimum wage).

        You must be new to US politics. It’s a tag team. Watch and see.

    • ElChinchilla@lemmy.world
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      23 hours ago

      The only thing Clinton and Harris taught me was that Dems (and boomers) dislike them some highly qualified, educated women.

      I will vote dem predominantly going forward (bus analogy and all that) but damn, like folding pocket aces. The opponent makes it even more cutting.

  • SplitTheUSInFour@lemmy.world
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    23 hours ago

    Lol. It never is.

    Wtf is so confusing to everyone else though? Your wife beating neighbor isn’t suddenly going to see the light. That person gets just as many rights as the rest of us.

    The system is broken. The US cannot stand as a singular country anymore. The world is always going to fight and it’s not always going to be our responsibility to police it. I don’t want to be Team America World Police. Let this place gooooooooo. Let these territories make laws that better fit their societies instead of playing two sides of the same coin for eternity.

  • Gpennyhigh@lemmy.world
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    1 day ago

    They can win a majority but it won’t do much, and then people will get mad they didn’t fix everything they don’t like and swing back to maga in '28. The road to Idiocracy is paved with repeating bad choices.

  • DJKJuicy@sh.itjust.works
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    23 hours ago

    Well I just checked and apparently we’re gonna solve our problems this time by not voting just like last time…ya know because “both sides”.

  • kreskin@lemmy.world
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    1 day ago

    Right now Dem leaders are crunching the numbers, figuring out how many bribe checks they can cash and still win 51% of the vote, or 50.00001%, even better. Their best political strategists are ON IT. Just like in the last election. Nothing has fundamentally changed. Not a single. effing. thing.

  • likebudda@reddthat.com
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    2 days ago

    In a universe where Donald can win two elections literally anything is possible. His supporters would vote for a wet fart if it was directed at a minority.

    • Malica@lemmy.zip
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      2 days ago

      That’s the moral of the story here. We each control one vote and this is arguably our most important vote in history.

        • thumbtaxx@lemmy.world
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          2 days ago

          What’s that emoji for when a comment makes you laugh then it hits and you kinda get a tear but are also mad at the system but also are tired?

        • athatet@lemmy.zip
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          1 day ago

          Yes. Every vote IS the most important one because it’s the one happening right now and is going to affect things in the very near future. I’m getting tired of dirty dishes but I still do them.

          • NocturnalMorning@lemmy.world
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            1 day ago

            These aren’t dirty dishes. I’m tired of this system. I’m tired of the people running it. I’m tired of having the political beliefs leave other people the fuck alone, and that’s a hard concept for other people to follow. I’m just tired, and I don’t need people to tell me what I already know. But thanks for checking in.

  • Bluescluestoothpaste@sh.itjust.works
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    2 days ago

    Republicans just really wanna use slurs and dont like seeing queer people in public. They’re quiet right now while the gas prices are high but they’re still gonna vote ref again.

  • Not_mikey@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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    2 days ago

    Leave it to Democrats to fuck up a cost of living mid term with high gas prices and a president in the low 30s approval rating.

    This should be the biggest blow out this century.

      • Randelung@lemmy.world
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        2 days ago

        Nobody is immune. You’re being constantly bombarded and you’re not catching all of it.

        • baines@lemmy.cafe
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          2 days ago

          there’s no such thing as immune to ideas

          there is definitely an inverse correlation between education and voting against your own interests though

          • Randelung@lemmy.world
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            2 days ago

            Sure, I just want to point out to readers that thoughts like “well it can’t happen to ME” or “they can’t mean ME because I have a degree” is wrong. Education will not shield a person, propaganda doesn’t work exclusively on the uneducated. It was meant more as a cautionary addition to your comment than a retort.

    • 🌞 Alexander Daychilde 🌞@lemmy.world
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      2 days ago

      Oligarchs are the source of the problem. Citizens United means more money supporting the fascists, and control of almost every media outlet means outright fascist propaganda on the "conservative’ networks, and minimized support for progressives on the “liberal” networks.

      Establishment Democrats still give us better returns on human rights compared to the fascists, but they do bow to their oligarchal masters pretty well, yes.

      The point is that progressives definitely do not have a majority in the US, much less the supermajority needed to squash fascism.

      It’s up to us to deal with our oligarchs and go from there.

    • CharlesDarwin@lemmy.world
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      2 days ago

      It should, but we are surrounded with deeply stupid people stewing in a shit-ton of conservative propaganda.