Last week, the Supreme Court issued an unsigned opinion requiring the Trump administration to “facilitate” the return of Kilmar Armando Abrego Garcia, a 29-year-old Maryland man whom immigration officials deported to a Salvadoran megaprison 32 days ago. But the justices pointedly stopped short of requiring the administration to “effectuate” Abrego Garcia’s return, in light of the “deference owed to the Executive Branch in the conduct of foreign affairs.” They did so despite the fact that lawyers for the government have conceded that it had no legal basis to deport Abrego Garcia; in court, they have characterized his disappearance as an “administrative error,” as if shipping a man who has not been accused of a crime to an overseas gulag is the equivalent of neglecting to attach an itemized receipt to an expense report.
I think it is more that the supreme court is looking to collect more than one solid case where it is obvious the president isn’t listening. Because if they pull the trigger and explicitly order him to do something that he isn’t going to do, that will be the turning point. And at that point they only have to real ways to win. One is congressional impeachment, which is their best case outcome. The other is they order him held in contempt and order the marshals to enforce it. It’s not obvious who’s order the marshals will follow. But if they choose the president, then the supreme court has to deputize a force strong enough to arrest the president. And the pres will likely order the military to defend him, and arrest the supreme court. That will likely cause a split in the military between those who will follow that order and those who won’t because it’s the supreme court. And that leads to civil war. So they want to have overwhelming cases and such to persuade congress to act. And trumps popularity is dropping. So is his support even in his own party. So time is on the supreme courts side right now. They don’t want to pull the trigger until they are sure they will win.
Some of what you said makes sense but the problem is their position will never get stronger. They will never have more marshals than they have right now. And there will be fewer people in the military that support them in the future, because Trump is working hard to replace many military leaders. And they know all of this, which means they are cowards or they believe that Trump should be the dictator that he currently is.
Every time HitlerPig replaces a competent leader, military or otherwise, with an ignorant loyalist, the opposition gains strength.
If SCOTUS has to round up a military force, they have a deep bench of extremely competent and accomplished military leaders to draw from, who will be going up against drunken MAGA Nazi morons like Hegseth.
These are leaders who have previously earned the respect of their troops, and given the choice of following true, patriotic military leaders, or MAGA Nazi dickheads, most are going to choose to follow those they respect, and respect them in return.