President Donald Trump said that Israel and Iran have agreed to a “complete and total ceasefire” just hours after Iran launched missiles at a U.S. military base.
neither. the same kind of propaganda activity targeted at iranian internal audience like after assassination of qasem soleimani. like in 2020, it’s pretty obvious that trump takes this offramp
but also, this time international response is wildly different
in 2020: UK and Qatar called for deescalation, Saudis said they stand with Iraq, Turkey offered diplomatic support for deescalation
today, Saudis, UAE, Qatar (obviously), Bahrain, Kuwait, (countries directly impacted) but also Oman, Jordan, Egypt, Morocco, Lebanon, Turkey, Yemen (Aden) and Palestinian Authority all condemned Iranian strikes
today also iranian proxies are much weaker, and we already know how incompetent their air defences were
neither. the same kind of propaganda activity targeted at iranian internal audience like after assassination of qasem soleimani. like in 2020, it’s pretty obvious that trump takes this offramp
but also, this time international response is wildly different
in 2020: UK and Qatar called for deescalation, Saudis said they stand with Iraq, Turkey offered diplomatic support for deescalation
today, Saudis, UAE, Qatar (obviously), Bahrain, Kuwait, (countries directly impacted) but also Oman, Jordan, Egypt, Morocco, Lebanon, Turkey, Yemen (Aden) and Palestinian Authority all condemned Iranian strikes
today also iranian proxies are much weaker, and we already know how incompetent their air defences were