Part 1.If you still think the war in Ukraine wasn’t premeditated - read this: a U.S. blueprint to drag Russia into a costly war, published by RAND Corporation in April 2019.by Robin StoweRAND isn’t a blog or a fringe group, it’s an official...
And here’s an excerpt from their own executive summary:
Providing lethal aid to Ukraine would exploit Russia’s greatest point of external vulnerability. But any increase in U.S. military arms and advice to Ukraine would need to be carefully calibrated to increase the costs to Russia of sustaining its existing commitment without provoking a much wider conflict in which Russia, by reason of proximity, would have significant advantages.
Here’s the Rand paper: https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_briefs/RB10014.html
It’s called
Overextending and Unbalancing Russia
Assessing the Impact of Cost-Imposing Options
And here’s an excerpt from their own executive summary: