“These earthquakes are a warning sign, a part of a longer-term story that we know we’re entering a build-up phase to the next (volcanic) eruption,” IMO Service and Research division head Matthew Roberts says, adding that from my perspective as a scientist and someone who’s been following this activity very closely, “I would say that an eruption within the next 12 months is likely.”

  • AutoTL;DR@lemmings.worldB
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    1 year ago

    This is the best summary I could come up with:


    COPENHAGEN, Oct 27 (Reuters) - A seismic swarm has hit the Reykjanes peninsula in southwest Iceland with more than 5,500 small earthquakes in the last three days, raising the prospect of a volcanic eruption, the country’s meteorological office (IMO) said on Friday.

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    While quakes are a daily occurrence in Iceland, the latest swarm was more extensive than usual.

    “These earthquakes are a warning sign, a part of a longer-term story that we know we’re entering a build-up phase to the next (volcanic) eruption,” IMO Service and Research division head Matthew Roberts told Reuters.

    The quakes originated at a depth of up to 5 km (around 3 miles) and were caused by a long-term accumulation of magma that has been building pressure and is now slowly drifting towards the surface of the earth, he added.

    Earlier this year a volcano erupted in an uninhabited part of the Reykjanes peninsula after intense earthquake activity, the third such event in the region southwest of the capital Reykjavik since 2021.

    A fourth eruption could now be developing, the IMO said, although predicting the timing of volcanic outbreaks is difficult.

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