This gets old given it really wasn’t that many Bernie supporters who ended up breaking for Trump. Imagine generalizing an entire group of people on 12% of their population. Not even abnormal compared to other primary vs general elections. Hell, 25% of Hillary primary voters ended up voting for McCain in 2008.
I used to crunch data around primary and general elections all the time in R back in college. Data is so fucking important for campaigns. Taking votes in a primary for granted regardless of party is a sure fire way to shoot yourself in the foot and cost you an election unless you are in a safe district. And boy howdy was it scary when the swing state data I saw leading into November 2016 started giving Trump higher and higher odds. Not nervous yet about 2024, but the Democratic Party needs to work its ass off to keep their vote margins as large as possible.
It’s full Bernie Bro logic too. Bernie didn’t get the nomination, so we’re voting for Trump.
These people don’t care about policies, only personalities.
This gets old given it really wasn’t that many Bernie supporters who ended up breaking for Trump. Imagine generalizing an entire group of people on 12% of their population. Not even abnormal compared to other primary vs general elections. Hell, 25% of Hillary primary voters ended up voting for McCain in 2008.
I used to crunch data around primary and general elections all the time in R back in college. Data is so fucking important for campaigns. Taking votes in a primary for granted regardless of party is a sure fire way to shoot yourself in the foot and cost you an election unless you are in a safe district. And boy howdy was it scary when the swing state data I saw leading into November 2016 started giving Trump higher and higher odds. Not nervous yet about 2024, but the Democratic Party needs to work its ass off to keep their vote margins as large as possible.