Ok but that’s his approval rating as being the current president. That doesn’t automatically translate to him losing. For example if I was asked that question I would say I don’t approve of him but given the choice between him and trump I’m picking him. You are using the answer for one question to assume the answer for another.
Here’s Biden vs Trump as well as other potential candidates in swing states to supplement that. He’s losing by up to 8 points in 5/6 swing states as of this Nov 5th poll, that’s also trending in the wrong direction.
And correct this isn’t something where you can say “the poll says this so therefore it’s determined to happen” because we can’t know the future. That’s why we have to take all these factors and see how similar situations turned out before and all that, never assuming absolute certainty.
Ok but that’s his approval rating as being the current president. That doesn’t automatically translate to him losing. For example if I was asked that question I would say I don’t approve of him but given the choice between him and trump I’m picking him. You are using the answer for one question to assume the answer for another.
Here’s Biden vs Trump as well as other potential candidates in swing states to supplement that. He’s losing by up to 8 points in 5/6 swing states as of this Nov 5th poll, that’s also trending in the wrong direction.
And correct this isn’t something where you can say “the poll says this so therefore it’s determined to happen” because we can’t know the future. That’s why we have to take all these factors and see how similar situations turned out before and all that, never assuming absolute certainty.