• 3 Posts
  • 10 Comments
Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: June 14th, 2023

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  • Let’s simplify this down to a coin flip.

    Now for a long time, heads has been weighted to be the result for a while. So say the last 50 flips, it was 40 heads and 10 tails.

    So you evaluated the coin and realize it’s imbalanced. Would you weigh the tails side so the next 50 flips show more tails so that over the 100 total flips, it’s balanced?

    Or do you remove the imbalance completely, and can say the next 50 will be fair.

    Statistics would say the later, but seems people feel the first option would make it “fair” even though it’s not balanced.