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Cake day: April 13th, 2024

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  • It functions like this:

    US American importers pay the tariffs to the US American state.

    The effect on EU entities is secondary in nature: The US American importers will either buy less from the EU entities and substitute the rest from other countries or they will try to buy the same more cheaply because they can’t keep up their previous value chain when the tariffs are included. Thereby demand for products from the EU will fall, hurting EU based exporters and more indirectly everyone up the chain from there.

    It will also hurt the US American importers and more indirectly everyone down the chain from there.

    Trump ignores the latter effect, and thinks the money raised for the US American state is more significant than it is. He also lies about the first step, but I think he knows how it really is, sometimes he lets it slip that he actually knows how tariffs work.











  • I’m unfamiliar with the term field arrest. If I get this right, this is what happens when you get arrested for a misdemeanour on site, cited and then immediately let go? Possibly with a requirement of turning up to a police station for booking, or to a court date?

    I read a bit of the paper, and it seems they are simply using the data from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth 1997.

    The relevant NLS topical guide says the following:

    NLSY97 youth respondents are asked whether they have ever been arrested by the police or taken into custody for an illegal or delinquent offense (not including arrests for minor traffic violations) and the total number of times this has happened.

    And looking up the phrasing in the questionnaire is also exactly the same

    Have you ever been arrested by the police or taken into custody for an illegal or delinquent offense (do not include arrests for minor traffic violations)?

    So I guess it would depend on whether respondents consider a field arrest an arrest and report it.