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Cake day: June 20th, 2023

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  • Not sure why you’re being downvoted. Glaciers formed over millennia. If they melt, they’re gone, even if we drop CO2 to pre-industrial levels. The Antarctic ice sheet is millions of years of snow that fell at the rate of a few inches a year and just didn’t melt. If significant portions of that fall off and melt, it’ll be millions of years more for the water it adds to the oceans to cycle back to the ice sheet again. The changes we have made will not be reversed automatically or in many cases at all.









  • Ford famously pardoned Nixon so he couldn’t be prosecuted for his involvement in the Watergate cover up. It’s arguable that prosecution and prison time for Nixon would have set a different precedent than we have in place now.

    George HW Bush pardoned a bunch of people who were involved in Iran-Contra, as well as Armand Hammer for illegal campaign contributions to Nixon-“coincidentally” after Hammer donated $110k to the RNC.

    Bill Clinton pardoned his HUD secretary of lying to the FBI, pardoned his half brother Roger, his CIA chief, a partner of his in the Whitewater deal, and multiple democratic representatives who had been found guilty of bank fraud.

    George W Bush pardoned Scooter Libby, Dick Cheney’s chief of staff.


  • Short answer: yes

    Longer answer: I would argue we’ve already had a few civil wars since the “War Between the States” in the 1860s. Reconstruction was arguably another civil war. The labor rights war of the early twentieth century included federal troops attacking organizing coal miners and federal agents along with private security forces attacking striking workers elsewhere. The violence of the civil rights movement (remember: the president had to call in the national guard to enforce integration) would also qualify as a civil war by some standards.

    Listen to the first limited series of the podcast It Could Happen Here for an idea of how a more involved civil war could start. The idea is that there would not be clear battle lines drawn up because our divide now is more urban vs rural, and people in rural areas have opportunities to attack infrastructure that would have significant impacts on urban areas.