• Godric@lemmy.world
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    5 hours ago

    Oh, it’s not the worst economy of the regime, it’s the worst economy of the regime so far!

  • TankovayaDiviziya@lemmy.world
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    5 hours ago

    I am waiting for more macroeconomic indicators before we could consider recession (and pull out my investments). But if it doesn’t come soon, the recession proper will take couple more months to take effect.

      • AndiHutch@lemmy.zip
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        2 hours ago

        I mean yes, but I doubt the average lemmite is in the top 10% of stockholders that have the lion’s share of affect on the market since they own like 90% of the market (or some outrageous number like that, I don’t know the exact numbers offhand). Investment moves made by small players are probably tiny compared to what the rich and their asset managers do when they sell / buy.

      • TankovayaDiviziya@lemmy.world
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        4 hours ago

        I just recently got into investing so my shares are still vulnerable to huge losses (as had happened to many during April Trump tariffs).

        • RandomWalker@lemmy.world
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          1 hour ago

          I’m not a financial advisor, but if you’ll need to use the money you’ve invested any time soon, then please take out your money now and don’t invest in something as volatile as stocks. Otherwise if you’re investing for the next 15+ years, then trying to time the market is generally a bad idea since the market is often irrational in the short run.

          Bonds are a good option right now if you have medium-low risk tolerance. Interest rates are relatively high and prices will probably be rising if this recession comes as we all expect.

          • TankovayaDiviziya@lemmy.world
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            1 hour ago

            Thanks for the advice. I have been looking at other savings type account including bonds. I have been shopping around as well for other financial accounts with high interest rates. My country’s banks don’t offer high interest rates unlike other countries.

    • balderdash@lemmy.zipOP
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      5 hours ago

      Yes, the general definition is two straight quarters of a declining GDP. However, most economic data is delayed, so you won’t know we’ve hit a recession until it’s already happened. It’s declared retrospectively.

      But feel free to correct me if I’m wrong: I’m not an economist (thank God).

      • TankovayaDiviziya@lemmy.world
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        5 hours ago

        GDP growth isn’t the only indicator. There are other macroeconomic indicators to consider including decline in manufacturing output, uptick in job unemployment rate, lower retail sales and higher consumer price index. Bad figures from all, or most, of these in at least three consecutive months trend towards recession. I am not an economist either to warrant more detailed analysis, but I have heard of rumours of recession coming this autumn so I have been keeping an eye on these factors.

      • jordanlund@lemmy.world
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        5 hours ago

        I mean, they could still release corrected numbers for Q2, but man, that would have to be a hell of a correction to go from +3% to -Anything%.

    • Capricorn_Geriatric@lemmy.world
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      7 hours ago

      Of course this is not a recession. Business in America has been Made Great Again. And the One Single Most Best Businessman in the World has Made it Happen!

  • BananaOnionJuice@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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    7 hours ago

    The orange stain got it right “It’s a price reduction of 1500%”, let’s do the math: a banana from Walmart is $1.10

    With “reduction”

    $1.10*1500/100 = $16.5