Rates of severe disease may be staying at relatively low levels, but experts agree that there are probably more infections than the current surveillance systems can capture.

“There is more transmission out there than what the surveillance data indicates,” said Janet Hamilton, executive director of the Council of State and Territorial Epidemiologists. “And we should be paying attention to it, because we are starting to see an increase.”

Weekly hospital admissions have nearly doubled over the past month, including a 19% bump in the most recent week, CDC data shows. And a sample of laboratories participating in a federal surveillance program show that test positivity rates have tripled in the past two months.

There are some hopeful signs: Biobot data shows that wastewater levels may be starting to flatten, and relatively low hospitalization rates suggest that there may be a lower risk of severe disease for many.

  • Aesculapius@kbin.social
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    1 year ago

    Physician here. The best marker we have of covid prevalence is wastewater testing. With the availability of home kits (and no reporting) and people refusing to test when symptomatic, the old markers of positivity rates and number of positive tests aren’t as valid. Even hospitalization numbers can fluctuate for multiple reasons. Municipal wastewater testing truly gives a sense of covid in a population.

    • runner_g@lemmy.blahaj.zone
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      1 year ago

      Wastewater-based emidemiology guy here. Thank you for your recognition of the field! I work at a competitor of Biobot, and what I find interesting is the article claiming Biobot data showing a plateau, as our data is showing a significant uptick over the month of August.

      On a different note, the majority of funding for WBE and wastewater surveillance comes from state/federal coffers, so please ask your colleagues to write to your representatives and ask for more funding towards WBE.

    • tider06@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      We can barely find test kits around us, and they are stupid expensive when we do find them. Like 10 bucks apiece.

      If it’s still running rampant, maybe the tests should still be affordable (or better yet, free).

    • crowsby@kbin.social
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      1 year ago

      That’s what I’ve been thinking. I can’t even recall the last time I heard of anyone I know taking a PCR covid test.

      And that makes it challenging trying to manage behavior. I’ve definitely noticed a marked uptick in people I know that have gotten covid in the past couple weeks, but when I try to look at the data to validate my anecdotal experience, it’s difficult to find compared to two years ago. Oregon, for example, has wastewater monitoring, but the page used to convey the data doesn’t work on mobile and is confusing to use at best.

  • LaunchesKayaks@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    Everyone at my work aside from two people have COVID. I was the first one to get it. I was told that I wasn’t the reason it spread through the office, but I still feel responsible. I got COVID from my mom and didn’t know I had it until I had already exposed coworkers. :(

    • GBU_28@lemm.ee
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      1 year ago

      It doesn’t matter what you did before you knew.

      It matters what you did after

        • GBU_28@lemm.ee
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          1 year ago

          Doesn’t matter what disease it is, if it is communicable, you should stay home if you’re sick.

          If you had an STD you would use a condom, right? Right?

          • Compactor9679@lemm.ee
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            1 year ago

            Dont know, lets ask the people who have STDs. Tipically LGBTQ people would have STDs :)

  • OldWoodFrame@lemm.ee
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    1 year ago

    I want to know if there’s a random unrelated bug going around too, or if this new strain just has heavy impact on the back of the throat and that is it. Seems like everyone I work with has had had some weird impossible-to-clear-your-throat virus that doesn’t lead to much coughing or any sneezing so folks aren’t staying home. If that’s the new covid it makes a lot of sense why it would be spreading.

  • BonesOfTheMoon@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    I find this article weird, I can’t think of anyone I know who currently has COVID, and despite the fact most people are going around maskless things seem pretty quiet on the viral front. This makes it seem like just everyone has COVID. I realize numbers are going back up but I don’t think it’s quite like they make it out?

    I will still be masking until the dawn of time and am at six shots and counting. I absolutely do not understand why anyone stopped masking.

      • BonesOfTheMoon@lemmy.world
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        1 year ago

        I work in a hospital. We have a scattered handful of people who are there for something else and also have a mild case of COVID, but nobody unvaccinated on a vent or ECMO or anything.

    • Album@lemmy.ca
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      1 year ago

      Yep knew some ppl who had it last month but I don’t know any one with it lately

    • wulrus@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      It’s not that surprising. “Only” about 0.2 % - 2 % get infected per week (depending on where you are), so there got to be some people who don’t know anyone who got it recently.

    • Compactor9679@lemm.ee
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      1 year ago

      They have COVID, they have the normal COVID symptons just people are not crazy about it

  • wulrus@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    A few countries still have somewhat precise numbers. UK has the ZOE health study, which found over 1 million people currently being infected out of roughly 50 million (from memory; I don’t know how many people live in UK). Germany has the SentiSurv study, indicating incidences approaching 1000 again. While the latter is only a survey in a few major cities, it allows calculation of a dark figure when put in relation to officially registered cases, which can then be applied to all regions that have the same criteria for when to test.

    Overall, not great that millions will miss a chance to get the upcoming vaccine that would provide very decent protection against the most common strains.

  • CaptainAlcohol@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    I completed the cycle of jabs and now I don’t need another one for a while here, when it come to covid, and I suggest doing the same if you haven’t, this is Still a virus and it’s no joke. Now I’m waiting for the flu shot to be released here, cause after the experience of the last year’s flu I say never again.

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    1 year ago

    I’ve been wearing a mask in public since I saw people start dropping dead on the streets of wuhan in january of 2020, right through when fauci himself was advocating against public mask wearing (a purposeful lie at the start of the western pandemic, to free up ppe for first responders), and the entire time since then, i’m as vaccinated and up to date on the latest bivalent boosters i can possibly be, and I’m still agog at home many people are walking around like it’s over, there’s nothing to worry about, grammy will be fine, maybe

    • HubertManne@kbin.social
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      1 year ago

      I still mask not because of covid but because I have not been sick in any significant way since 2019. Maybe even late 2018. Before that I used to get sick about once a year. maybe go 18 months without being sick but maybe being sick again in 3 months. Now I have went practically 5 years (I don’t recall the last time I was sick I just remember the approx rate it showed up in the before times) and if I don’t have something specific I need my mouth hole for then its staying covered unless im at home or outside without being near anyone (like when I walk my dog)

        • HubertManne@kbin.social
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          1 year ago

          Once a year. And yeah. I know. Crazy right. So. So. Onerous. To wear something on your face like you would your hands, or feet, or top of your head. For some silly reason like its a tad cold, or my religion says I should, or its in fashion. Yeah that is just the type of incredibly disciplined person I am. To take on such an arduous task.

  • Compactor9679@lemm.ee
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    1 year ago

    Hahahahha ohhhh my God!! Another Covid whatever. Lets all lockdown hahaha fucking idiots